Monday, June 17, 2024

Australia’s economic outlook worsens

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The NAB business survey has been released, which paints a bleak picture of economic activity.

Business confidence slips back into negative territory and conditions are steadily deteriorating.

Source: Alex Joiner

The next chart on forward orders foreshadows a fairly bleak outlook for economic activity in the near term:


NAB forward orders

The next chart from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro also shows that NAB’s survey is pointing to slower employment growth:

Employment growth


Firm profitability has also collapsed, suggesting lower employment:

Firm profitability

Based on this data, Q2 is shaping up even weaker than Q1, which delivered the slowest annual GDP growth since the early 1990s recession:

Annual GDP growth


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