Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 26, 2023

Keldon Johnson and the San Antonio Spurs (19-55) are huge, 16.5-point underdogs when they square off against the Boston Celtics (51-23) on March 26, 2023.

Celtics vs. Spurs Odds

  • Celtics odds to win: -1800
  • Spurs odds to win: +1000
  • Spread: Celtics (-16.5)

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV: NBCS-BOS and BSSW

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Spurs?

Celtics and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Spurs are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 16.5-point underdogs.

Boston has gone 38-33-3 ATS this season.

The Spurs are 30-44-0 ATS this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics have a +434 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.9 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game to rank third in the league and are giving up 112 per outing to rank fourth in the NBA.

The Celtics rank seventh in the NBA at 45.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.1 their opponents average.

Boston makes 16 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 4.2 more than its opponents (11.8). It is shooting 37.7% from deep (fifth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.1%.

The Celtics average 115.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (third in the league), and give up 109.3 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).

The Celtics’ offense has been much better at home (120.7 PPG) compared to their play on the road (115.2 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better when playing at home (111.5 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (112.5 PPG allowed).

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs are being outscored by 10 points per game, with a -743 scoring differential overall. They put up 112.3 points per game (24th in NBA), and allow 122.3 per outing (30th in league).

San Antonio pulls down 43.4 rebounds per game (16th in league) while allowing 44.7 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.3 boards per game.

The Spurs knock down 11 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.3 fewer than their opponents.

The Spurs rank 30th in the league averaging 107 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 30th, allowing 117.4 points per 100 possessions.

At home San Antonio is putting up 114.2 points per game, 3.9 more than it is averaging on the road (110.3).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

The Celtics get 30.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists from Jayson Tatum.

Marcus Smart’s averages this season are 11.3 points, 3.2 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game.

The Celtics get 3.2 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Smart picks pockets to the tune of 1.6 takeaways per game, while Derrick White records 0.9 rejections per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Johnson scores 22 points per game and also tacks on 5.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest.

This season, Zach Collins has a statline that includes 11.2 points, 2.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds per game.

Johnson averages 2.1 made threes per game.

The Spurs’ defensive efforts get a lift from Tre Jones (1.3 steals per game) and Collins (0.7 blocks per game).

Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Celtics (- 16.5)
  • Prediction:
    Celtics 126 – Spurs 106

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